Friday, February 14, 2020

Let's play 20-20 in Delhi

Let's play 20-20 in Delhi

2020 Delhi assembly elections are over and Arvind Kejriwal is going to take oath on Sunday. There are many takeaways from the high voltage election and its outcome. Few points which I feel are very important and crucial takeaways:
a) First and foremost, it is squarely unfair to term voters of Delhi as a traitor, Non-Hindu, etc as they have been called since exit polls. The same set of voters had given all its seats to BJP in 2019 Lok sabha not even a year ago. Why were there no similar questions raised to people of Jharkhand, another smaller state where the son of a tainted politician became chief minister a few months back where BJP was defending? Even BJP chief minister lost in his own constituency in Jamshedpur. But not many of us know this. It is crystal clear that voters know what they are voting for, be it for Lok Sabha, assembly or MCD. Voters in the north region vote differently in state and central elections than their counterparts in the south. I firmly believe if voters of Delhi are asked again to vote for Lok sabha now, they may give at least 6 seats to BJP.
b) Now coming to party-wise. (C-B-A). Congress: I had mentioned about its blunder to tie up with RJD. All the four RJD candidates lost their security in this election. Either Congress itself made a self-goal or they intentionally wanted to lose badly to help AAP.
c) BJP -- BJP gave a spirited fight in the last 2 weeks. If it had planned a strategy earlier with an honest and young credible face for chief minister candidate, there might be a good chance of coming back. It unleashed all the man, minister, media and money power in its disposal. It helped BJP which managed to increase overall vote share by 5% and got gain in 63 seats from last assembly elections. Pravesh Verma, son of one of the most honest leaders of BJP, Late Shaib Singh Verma may have become chief minister if BJP managed to get enough required seats.
d) Now on Aap - The crushing defeat of 2017 MCD elections changed the game for AAP. Kejriwal understood it well not to take the name of Modi any more and concentrate solely on work. It helped Aap and so the people of Delhi. Kejriwal did not take Modi's name at all in elections and maintained a safe distance from Shaheen Bagh protests. It helped him. The over-ambitious Kejriwal will try to come to the national diaspora in coming years if he managed to perform again in Delhi.

e) Finally a quick look at 3 assembly seats which are very important. Sanjiv Jha from Burari won by the highest margin. Burari has the highest concentration of Purvanchali voters.Manish Sisodia sneaked a narrow victory in Patparganj. He should say thanks to Uttarakhandi candidate of Congress who split vote of BJP candidate Mr Negi, another Uttarkhandi. Patparganj has around 20% population of Utarakhandi and they vote in consolidation. Mustafabad where AAP won and gained increase of 23% vote share (highest increase in any assembly seat). BJP had won here in 2015 amid AAP's tsunami. Muslim consolidated vote and loss of congress traditional vote helped AAP to cross 50 seats.
Elections are a frequent exercise in democracy, so the dignity of voters must be respected. Because you never know...